Monday, October 4, 2010

4 October, 2010

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Today's Top Weather Stories
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
 
UK WINDSTORM LIVE FEED:

As of early evening, Cairngorm Mountain, near Aviemore in the Central Highlands recorded a gust to 103 mph!

-As of 11pm GMT: Sustained winds of 36 mph and a gust to 59 mph was recorded at Glen Ogle whilst there is literally no wind blowing at my home here in Lennoxtown (around 10 miles north of Glasgow City Centre)
-As of 10pm GMT: A gust of 49 mph was recorded at Glen Ogle and Altnaharra.

Image Courtesy of the Las Vegas Sun

BREAKING NEWS:
Severe storm watch posted for Clark County, Las Vegas through evening
Las Vegas Sun

SCOTLAND FACES STORMY WEEK OF WEATHER
See Weather Talk below for Video and Mark Vogan's discussion
 
Las Vegas 'Death Ray' Singes Tourists: 'Jesus, They Destroyed the Ozone Layer!''
AOL News
 
Vdara ‘death ray’ captures imagination of world’s media
Las Vegas Sun

New System Threatens Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico
AccuWeather News

Flooding Downpours, Gusty Winds in the West
AccuWeaher News

The Vdara Death Ray (Image Courtesy of the Las Vegas Sun)

Today's Weather across America
From AccuWeather
 

Nasty Thunderstorms Popping Up Around Las Vegas
By Heather Buchman, Meteorologist

More Frost and Freezing Temperatures in Midwest Tonight
By Heather Buchman, Meteorologist

Days of Dampness for Mid-Atlantic, Southern New England
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist

Weather Talk
By Mark Vogan
 
Low Pressure "Rapidly Deepening" off West Coast of Scotland, set to bring Stormy conditions throughout the week
 
 
Here is STV Meteorologist Sean Batty's forecast from around 5pm this evening!
 

As explained only yesterday, the wild weather of October is on the playing field as a deepening area of low pressure spinning off the Scottish West Coast presses against a high over the continent, the apposing pressure systems will drill strenghening winds onshore tonight, increasing as the night wears on and presents coastal areas with gales and strong winds for inland areas of Scotland through tonight and into tomorrow.

The low is deepening as it's drawing warm, moist air up from the south and tapping colder air to the north (as explained yesterday) and thus these baroclinic contrasts of warm and cold, dry and moist is what drives pressures down within the center of these large Atlantic depressions, As pressures drop, so the winds increase and this is presented on your weather forecast at home in the form of tightening of the isobars (lines of equal pressure). The jet stream is also energized with this air mass confliction and a stronger jet aloft, adds energy to these pinwheels of air!

As well as the intensify field of cold to the north and still warm air to the south, the actual warm waters of the Atlantic to the west and North Sea to the east may also add fuel to these systems, which may force higher rain totals than expected as well as increase the winds.

EXPOSED WEST COAST AND ISLANDS TO SEE 70MPH GUSTS, OUTER HEBRIDES MAY SEE 80+MPH GUSTS

Tonight, look for 60-70mph wind gusts and sustained winds over 35mph along the West Coast and the Islands with perhaps 80+mph gusts on the exposed coasts of the Outer Hebrides, high swells of over 20 feet can also be expected along with driving rains which are likely to create flooding, especially along vunerable coast roads.

As the night wears on, winds will continue to blow to gale-force, likely severe gale-force along the exposed coast, open to the North Atlantic.. Extremely strong winds are also likely to impact remote peaks up and down the West Coast, especially those exposed and unprotected by surrounding hills, such peaks as those of the Cullins of Skye and the Nevis Range may see gusts top 100 mph whilst lower elevations, protected by the hills may see gusts of much more moderate strength.

As tomorrow progresses, winds are likely to remain strong in western areas and we may see gales move into the Lowlands as well as the Central Belt as winds pick up as the low gets closer to Scotland.. The Central Highlands, rather than northwest Highlands are likely to experience severe gale-force winds with Cairngorm Mountain likely to see winds top 100 mph.

MUCH OF THE WEEK TO BE VERY WINDY WITH BOUTS OF RAIN AND THEN SUNSHINE

As the low intensifies off Scotland, it's likely that winds will be strong much of the rest of the workweek with midweek perhaps seeing the strongest winds with severe coastal gales and gales in the Central Belt. Damage to trees, powerlines and property is most likely nearer exposed coasts and in high elevation locales exposed to the elements at the best of times. Sea Fairing will be a serious issue with the likely cancellation of most ferry services up and down the UK and Ireland coasts, not just Scotland as the low deepens to a powerful 947mb (expected Thursday), this will likely create wave heights in excess of 50 feet offshore.

What's Reaching Today's Blogs?

WGN Weather Feature


Henry's Winter Forecast for Dec. 1, 2010 to March 31, 2011
Henry Margusity, AccuWeather

A Different Kind of Wet
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather

From High Heat to Snow and Cold in a Week
Ken Clark, Western Expert, AccuWeather

The Extremes of the Day

Today's US Extremes
Courtesy of AccuWeather

High: 100 degrees at Gila Bend, AZ
Low: 20 degrees at Embarrass, MN

Today's UK Extremes
Courtesy of the Met Office

High: 67 degrees at Hurn (Dorset)
Low: 35 degrees at Katesbridge (Co Down)

Today's Extremes here at my house


High: 59 degrees
Low: 47 degrees

 Thanks for reading.
-Mark

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