On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
Amazing.... two Cat 4's in the Atlantic today!!
**MARK VOGAN WILL BRING FULL TROPICAL DISCUSSION TOMORROW!
Dangerous Hurricane Igor Targets Bermuda
AccuWeather News
Julia Now the Fourth Major Hurricane of the Season
AccuWeather News
Karl Threatens Flooding Rain in Mexico
AccuWeather News
Tropical Storm Karl Nearing First Mexican Landfall
AccuWeather News
Today's Weather across America
From AccuWeather
Severe Weather from the Plains to the Ohio Valley
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Severe Weather Danger from Central Plains to Northeast
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
Watch That Wind Thursday, Friday in the Northeast
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Worsening Eastern US Drought, Prospects of Rain
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Weather Talk
By Mark Vogan
A Stormy night heralds the Arrival of Autumn to Scotland
After a night in which brought gale-force winds and heavy rain across Scotland and norther England last night, presenting me with a challenge as winds ripped branches off trees and toassed my truck cab and double-deck trailer all over the road (particularly bad between the Forth Road Bridge (which was closed to high-sided vehicles) and Stirling where I really did have to keep checking that the wheels of my trailer were still on the ground!
Anyway, between that and having my windscreen wiper snapped by a gust up near Aviemore, it was a fun old night to be out driving whilst olks were snuggled up in their cosy beds!!
Those strong winds told me, that autumn has truely arrived as temps continued to drop off throughout yesterday and with a stiffening wind where temps are down to 48 degrees on the night of September 15th, that's darn cold!
The air continues to be funneled down from the north, ushering in not only colder air that makes it feel more like November, than September but trees are radily loosening leaves never mind them turning colour...
Autumn and winter will likely arrive earlier this year than last, does that mean a longer, tougher or even similar winter to last? No... what it does tell me is, that despite the fact that we are "likely" to see a return to warmer, more settled weather omce again, we are likely to see a colder next couple of months leading to Christmas than last. Remember.... winter didn't arrive until the snows did back on December 18th (earlier for some), November was wet, windy and warm, likely not this year....
My winter forecast will be released on October, 31, 2010
Vagaries of the Weather
India & Sub-Continental Asia Weather
By Rajesh Kapadia
As discussed in our previous blogs, the Monsoon "reversal" schedule seems to have commenced, from where it should, Pakistan region and in India, the extreme west of Rajasthan.
"Vagaries" had anticipated the widhrawal to commence from the 15th. of September.
As on the 15th. the most important and obvious parameters of monsoon reversal are seen.
1. The 200 hpa jet streams. This has been explained earlier, and now is clearly seen as a westerly stream all over the Pakistan region, and somewhat into western Rajasthan. During Monsoons they are easterlies, as they are below the 25N line
2. A well defined anti-cyclone in the areas pertaining to the widhrawal.And much less humidity (grey shading) in the regions where monsoon is retreating.
3. The OLR image
indiacates higher values ver the western region of India and neighbouring Pakistan.
"Vagaries" would consider the monsoon as over from Pakistan (save coastal sindh, adjoining India's Kutch region) and western most regions of Rajasthan from today, 15th.September.
The next areas, which would normally come in the widhrawal stage wuld be Kutch and Saurashtra, and rest of Rajasthan State. When ? Most probably around the begining of next week, say by the 20th.of September. But another appraisal of this second phase on Friday.
Regarding the current low as discussed on Tuesday, it seems what was predicted will hold good. The low being originally at 1002 mb, was thought to be too weak to carry on inland as a MSL low. As envisaged, should track inward as an UAC.
The path ? Thru North A.P./East Vidharbha on Thursday, and into M.P. and South U.P. on Friday.
But, the heavier rains will actually be precipitating once the UAC establishes itself over M.P. by around Friday, or a day later on Saturday.
Rains in Delhi and west U.P. on Friday/Saturday. And , if the W.D. predicted by IMD for Friday comes thru, the inter-action of the 2 systems will produce very heavy rains.
The regions of heavy rains on Saturday could well be Delhi or Utteranchal or H.P. Let's guess that once the W.D. arrives.
SEE A NEW AND GREAT VERSION OF VAGARIES OF THE WEATHER HERE!!
What's Reaching Today's Blogs?
Record Atlantic Activity, Hurricane Igor's Second Wind
Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather
Fast-Paced Changes Across the North, While It's Status Quo Across the South
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather
Today's US Extremes
Courtesy of AccuWeather
High: 109 degrees at Indio, CA
Low: 21 degrees at Bodie State Park, CA
Today's Extremes here at my house
High: 60 degrees
Low: 48 degrees
TODAY'S COND
After a very windy night and a real feeling of autumn in the air, today saw a relaxing of the wind and spells of sun in between mostly cloudy skies.
Thanks for reading.
-Mark
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