Monday, April 25, 2011

25 April, 2011

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TODAY'S TOP WEATHER STORIES
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
 

April 2011 Likely to set record for most Tornadoes
ACCUWEATHER NEWS

Flooding to Worsen along Ohio, Mississippi Rivers
ACCUWEATHER NEWS

Flood Threat Continues across Thailand
ACCUWEATHER NEWS


TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS AMERICA By Mark Vogan
 
The battle between warm and cold fights another day with severe weather in between!
 
It's another day of cool, hot, dry, rainy and stormy weather across the US depending upon where you live. While it's cool and unsettled across the West and North, heat and humidity is building once again across Texas, the Deep South and up into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Of course, if you live in the Arklatex, Missouri and western Tennessee and Kentucky you don't need me to tell you that it's either raining and your struggling to cope with the amount of water both in the soils around your house or the amount of swelling going on in creeks, streams and rivers around your house or neighbourhood right now.
 
OCCLUDED FRONT DRAPPED FROM OKC TO NYC REMAINS STATIONARY, MEANING MORE RAINFALL IN ALREADY SOAKED AREAS
 
The storm system centered over southwest Oklahoma with it's stationary front stretching almost perfectly due northeast from the low pressure to New York City. 
 
The concern and problem this afternoon is that this pesky front remains anchored over the nations midsection with persistent rains falling across portions of Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri and up into western Tennessee and Kentucky. The boundary which is seperating and creating a north-south and east-west divide in both temperature and dew point is supporting building heat across the south and east and this is forcing the constant development of 'training storms' that blow up and run along this boundary one after the other. This is why we're seeing the amounts of rain we're seeing across the Missouri, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky region.
 

DANGEROUS WEATHER CURRENTLY HAPPENING....
VOLATILE AND DANGEROUS STORMS CURRENTLY BLOWING UP ACROSS NORTH TEXAS, CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND THESE WILL LIKELY PUSH INTO NORTH-CENTRAL ARKANSAS, SOUTHERN MISSOURI, SOUTH ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY LATER!!

As you can see from the above graphic I've taken off TWC site, storms are blowing up in two seperate northeast alignments over far north and notheast Texas and central and southeastern Oklahoma. These storms look large and strong and the problem is, their firing right where the focus of energy is, where the jet aloft is blowing strongest out of the northwest and where the surface winds are blowing hard from the southwest. As this air grows warmer into the late PM hours, these storms will continue to fire, push off to the northeast and new ones will redevelop, only problem is, those redeveloping ones may have hotter, more humid surface air, a stronger jet aloft and more ample turning of the atmosphere which will form supercells and likely nasty severe weather. These powerful storms will likely run the northeast line in through north-central Arkansas, into southern Missouri and then possible into far south Illinois, western Kentucky through late afternoon and evening...


The red box covering northeast Texas, southeast Oklahoma and into western Tennessee is a region of most concern at the moment. I can assure you that this box will either shift or be extended north and east in the coming hours as we progress through this evening.


This infrared image shows the might of the storms currently over the region with the deepest reds showing the higher, colder cloud tops. These higher, colder tops show the height in which these clouds are reaching, where the stongest cells are and where the most danger lies. All this severe and volatile weather is moving in a northeast direction along the boundary through the rest of this afternoon and will continue to cause travel problems as well as a risk of damging wind, flooding rainfall, large hail and the risk of tornadoes.

 
Finally, here is a look at the cool air north of the storm, notice the largest departures from normal over west-central Kansas and Nebraska, the air is likely moving fastest here on the northern boundary of the storm's core. Also note the 15 to even 20 degrees above normal from West Virginia to DC and up to Philadelphia.

Please keep checking your local TV and radio station for updates on your ever changing weather situation. Always remember that your weather can change into a deadly situation at anytime!

FLOOD THREAT ISN'T GOING AWAY ANYTIME SOON



Stay safe!

TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS UK & EUROPE By Mark Vogan
 
UK & Western Europe cools back to normal but high pressure remains in control!

Today (Monday)

Wednesday

Friday

Forecast details for rest of the week coming up tomorrow, stay tuned!

VAGARIES OF THE WEATHER
INDIA & SUB-CONTINENTAL ASIA WEATHER
BY RAJESH KAPADIA
 
This was the Monday we were discussing. The 40s are here. As expected from Monday, the days are warming up, and across the border, Larkana is touching 47c.

Map of 25th Day Temperatures (from Univ. of Cologne) shows a fair "sprinking" of 40s
 
 

Hopefully, next MW should be positve as far as the seasonal low parameter is concerned.

Forecast For Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday/Friday:

For Nepal however, a North-South trough promises a wettish week. Vagaries holds on to its forecast for Nepal published on the 23rd.

Tuesday thru Friday, it should rain in the eastern parts of Nepal. Kathmandu will have Thunder showers, some heavy on Wednesday, till Friday. Day will be "under control" at around 26-28c. On Wed/Thu, I feel the capital could expect upto 30-35 mms of rainfall.

For this week, Tuesday thru Friday, in the Sub-Continent, Vagaries does not forecast any meaningful rains, except thundershowers in the NE states, Northern West Bengal and Sikkim. Convectional thundershowers can pop up in coastal Orissa, Kerala and interior T.N.

Thundershowers could appear in lower Sindh region of Pakistan on Thursday.

Mumbai:


Tuesday/Wednesday/Thursday: Partly cloudy, with high-medium alto-cumulas clouds making it stuffy and humid. Hence night temperatures will rise from the current 24/25c levels to 26/27c. Days will be around 34c.
 
CLICK HERE TO SEE OUR TERRIFIC PARTNER BLOG! THE ONLY PLACE TO GO FOR INDIA, SUB-CONTENTAL WEATHER! 

WHAT'S REACHING TODAY'S BLOGS?

Severe Weather and Flooding Front and Center through Midweek
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather

3-Day Severe Thunderstorm Outbreak For Pennsylvania
Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather

WHAT'S ON TODAY'S WEATHERBELL BLOGS?
 
It Is Alive ( Well Sort Of)
Joe Bastardi's Blog, Weatherbell.com

Why you need to keep an open mind in your decision making
Joe D'Aleo's Blog, Weatherbell.com

THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY

TODAY'S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER

HIGH: 107 degrees at Laredo, TX
LOW: 8 degrees at Lake Yellowstone, WY

TODAY'S UK EXTREMES
COURTESY OF THE MET OFFICE

HIGH: 75 degrees (24C) at Solent (Hampshire)
LOW: 33 degrees (0.6C) at Loch Glascarnoch (Highland)

TODAY'S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE
 
HIGH: 60 degrees
LOW: 42 degrees
 
Thanks for reading.
-Mark

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