Today's Top Weather Stories
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
GRAPHIC COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER.COM
Breaking News
7.5-Magnitude Earthquake Shakes Indian Ocean Islands
AccuWeather News
Early activity in the tropical Atlantic
The Weather Channel
Blistering Heat bakes the American South
By Mark Vogan (see Weather Talk below)
CURRENT TEMPS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US, COURTESY OF THE WEATHER CHANNEL
VIDEO: Wild Winter, followed by Wild Summer, Hurricane Season
Joe Bastardi, Long Range Expert, AccuWeather
World Cup Weather Turns Cool, Rainy at Some Stadiums
AccuWeather News
your america today forecast
by mark vogan
southeast
It will be yet another scorcher across the Southeast but a slight cooling is expected after today, unfortunately, today for many places may be the warmest yet with widespread highs ranging from 95-102 degrees from New Orleans to Charlotte. Humidity levels will be equally as high as the past few days and as this air mass grows old, urban areas will see a decrease in air quality, particularly major urban centers such as New Orleans, Atlanta and Charlotte. The dangers of intense heat and high humidity remain high or highest today so as stated over the past few days, please use caution outdoors from noon till 5pm as most areas will feel like it's 100 or warmer. Mark's City-Cast, Atlanta Hi 95 (dew point, low 70s), realfeel 100-105), Lo around 75. Jacksonville Hi 97, (dew point mid to upper 70s), realfeel near 110, lo 80, risk of aft t-storms. Miami Hi 93 ( dew point upper 70s, realfeel 100-105, Lo 81, risk of aft t-storms. Montgomery Hi 98 (dew point mid-70s) realfeel 110+. Lo near 80. New Orleans Hi 94 (dew point between 75-80), realfeel 105-110, Lo near 80. The Florida pennisula will be under the highest risk of thunderstorms today as highs are slightly lower in S FL and higher (mid to upper 90s) for N. FL, areas from S. GA to eastern TX will have a "capped" atmosphere, therefore restricting t-storm development and maximum sunshine.
northeast
A reversal of the last few days will occur from northern Maine to Connecticut. Whilst a cooler air will infiltrate the northern half of New England from the eastern lakes of Ontario and Erie all the way across far northern NY state, Vermont, New Hampshire and into central and northern Maine where highs will be only in the mid-60s, The exceptional heat found stationed over the Southeast has been impacting all the way to the DC-Baltimore area and even stretching into Philadelphia with afternoon upper 80s, low 90s for DC-Balt. Today this warmth will nudge far enough north and east to help push Boston's dissapointing 60s, rain and cloudcover of recent days further north. Plentiful sunshine will help support upper 70s there, making a for a beautiful day. Highs range from 65 in Caribou, 78 in Boston, 83 in New York, 89 in Philadelphia to 91 in Baltimore, 92 in Washington DC. Lows will range from 74 in DC, 72 in Philadelphia, 70 in New York and 60 in Boston.
northwest
Today should see a very pleasant and sunny day from Seattle to Salt Lake City and from Miles City to Redding. Highs range from 65 in Seattle, 75 in Portland, 80 in Medford, mid to upper 80s for most east of the Cascades. Even Salt Lake City which has seen chilly, rainy weather of late will see the return of sun and 70s today! Once again the northern and central Sacramento-San Joaquin valley will see blazing sunshine and temps running well into the 90s, upper 90s to near 100 from Redding to Red Bluff in the north, 90-94 in Sacramento and upper 90s to even low 100s from Fresno to Bakersfield.
southwest
The return of stronger high pressure over the Southwest has aided in marked warming from only upper 70s in Vegas and upper 80s in Phoenix. Highs should top the mid-90s for Vegas and 102 in Phoenix today beneath clear skies and a blazing sun. Death Valley may see 110 this afternoon. Watch in coming days as 100s return to Vegas and near 110 in Phoenix
southern plains
A very sunny hot day is in store for Texas but furthern north, though it will be warm, A corridor of heavy rains and thunderstorms run from Oklahoma City WHERE THERE HAS BEEN SEVERE FLOODING through St Louis, Cincinnati, Chicago and up to Buffalo, NY. This is the boundary between warm-dry air (Canadian high) and a warm, tropical high over Texas. In between we see embedded areas of energy, a jet stream and this is allowing intense, flooding rains and thunderstorms, some of which may turn severe. High are running into the low to mid-90s throughout Texas, Upper 80s from OK City to St Louis. Chicago will see showers and some storms with a high only around 70-72 degrees. Detroit will likewise see storminess and a high of around 76 degrees.
northern plains
Though the sun will shine across north Minnesota to northeast Montana and highs will run into the 70s, further south a cooler pocket of air with cloud and rain will persists, deviding the Northern Plains in an upsidedown weather and temperature pattern.. Points further north will be sunniest and warmest with Minot to Bismarck likely seeing plentiful sun and highs around 74-76, yet between Denver to Rapid City to Minneapolis highs run from around 64 in Denver (with rain) to only 60 with rain in Rapid City. Minneapolis ain't much better with showers and a high around 65...
Today's Weather across America
From AccuWeather
VIDEO: Trouble in the Tropics?
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather
More Extreme Heat, Humidity Coming for Southeast
AccuWeather
Downpours, Extreme Heat, Humidity for Albert Pike Efforts this Week
AccuWeather
Dangerous Severe Storms, Flooding from Texas to Ohio
AccuWeather
Weather Talk
By Mark Vogan
IT'S ALL ABOUT THE BLAZING HEAT AND SUFFOCATING HUMIDITY ACROSS THE AMERICAN SUN BELT.
Expect New Orleans to Atlanta to top 95 degrees today and feel like between 105-110 degrees this afternoon. Inland cities such as Montgomery, AL in between may see highs warm to around 100 with areas of North Florida from Tallahassee to Jacksonville which I believe will liekwise take a run at 100. Whilst the uniform dew point will likely be in the low 70s by day, remember, humidity increases at night and therefore many points such as Atlanta, which though feels bad at 95 degree air temp and a 70-degree dew point, as night falls, those humidity levels will rise into the mid-70s and this will aid in holding lows tonight to around 75 degrees, making for a hot, sweaty night. Really up until midnight, temps will remain probably in the mid-80s... New Orleans and particularly points right along the Gulf waters will see afternoon dew points rise from the mid-70s to overnight 80s with some spots perhaps seeing near 85-degree dew points!! Combine that with air temps all night holding in the upper 80s and finally falling to around 80 in New Orleans and 82-84 right on the Gulf by 5-7am, it will feel intolerable outside...
HEAT AND HUMIDITY RELIEF COMING FOR SOUTHEAST?
A slight cooling trend is forecast as a cold front, a weak one at that may nudge highs from the mid-90s in New Orleans to around 90, for Atlanta, down to the upper 80s and for north Florida down to around 90 from near 100. Areas to the north will likely experience more of an influence whilst places in southern Louisiana to north Flroida have a tough time seeing cold front make it all the way south, therefore minimal relief from heat and humidity is likely...
TROPICS FINALLY COMING ALIVE?
ATLANTIC DEPRESSION MAY BE BORN SOON...
There has been a little bit of stir by both model and forecaster over the past 24 or so hours regarding a large and what has become an increasingly better organising tropical disturbance which is spinning westwards through the itcz and is approx 1,000 west, southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, located in the central tropical Atlantic... As of this time, we do see a favourable or growing chance that this system develops a crucial surface and mid-level low pressure circulation and those thunderstorms may well be able to convergence and develop into a warm core low. Waters to the west and in the path of this disturence are above the growth threshold of 80 degrees. Wind shear is weakening and despite some dry air out ahead, this system may have a decent chance at becoming the Atlantic's first named storm of 2010, which would be ALEX. Another large disturbance has also just progressed off the west African coast and this also may bare some monitoring over the next 5-10 days.
The monsoonal circulation is becoming more active across the north Indian Ocean and this is helping activate a more vibrant African Wave Train, this combined with intense heating over the Sahara... The atmosphere and ever increasing tropical Atlantic waters are working in harmony to help kick off what is likely to become a severe hurricane season in the Atlantic basin.
I shall update once again tomorrow to keep you posted on the very latest.
UNITED KINGDOM TO ENJOY THE RETURN OF SUMMER WARMTH LATE THIS WEEK AND THROUGH NEXT
It appears the UK, possibly more so the northern half, will enjoy some beautiful weather from the mid-week point onwards with highs that will easily top 70 for some central Belt of Scotland locales with a chance of even mid-70s from Glasgow to Edinburgh for the weekend!! Sunshine should be in abundance, allowing for EXCELLENT BBQ weather! More on the mid-range outlook for all of Britain in tomorrows Weather Talk. Stay tuned.Keep checking back every day for the latest updates on these stories.
Vagaries of the Weather
India & Sub-Continental Asia Weather
By Rajesh Kapadia
Monday, June 14, 2010
The pulse from the bay "low" has fulfilled its duty!The predicted upper air cyclonic circulation is in the forming stage off the west coast today (IMD Map). The Maharashtra coast has been spotted with heavy rains since Sunday night
(IMD rain Map), and Mumbai getting a drenching on Monday morning with a heavy thunderstorm.Sawantwadi recieved 230mms,Vengurla got 190mms,Goa 65mms and Ratnagiri 46mms.
During this week the system could start attracting the flows towards itself and cover the entire west coast.
FNMOC forecast shows a swath of rains along the Konkan-Mumbai-Gujarat coast from Tuesday, this week.The system, with the off shore trough, will be raining down over the western coastal areas over the rest of the week.
On the contrary, the eastern coast, comprising Tamil Nadu, A.P, and Orissa, will be much drier with scanty rains during the week in discussion. I see the "low" fizzling out "on-the-spot" near the T.N.coast itself by Monday itself. But the region North of Orissa coast would continue to get heavy rains.
After Wednesday 16th,, some model forecasts show the Northern most point on the west coast( read Gujarat), upto Mumbai, getting drier comparitivly, to some extent. But, the precipitation outlook from NCEP and FNMOC suggest the west coast as a whole would receive fiarly good amounts of rainfall during the week ending June 20.
Resultantly, we should see the entire peninsula and the southern parts Gujarat and M.P. covered by the monsoon during this period.
Mumbai Colaba had recieved 30mms of rain upto 08.30 hrs on Monday. As per my forecast put up yesterday (13th.), the city should see an increase in rain from evening onwards,peaking tomorrow.
From Friday 18th, Mumbai may see the rainfall intensity diminishing, maybe to around 15-20mms /day.
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What's Reaching Today's Blogs?
No Shortage of Heat on the Long Range Forecast
Brett Anderson, AccuWeather
Getting Tropical
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather
Today's US Extremes
Courtesy of AccuWeather
High: 110 degrees at Death Valley, CA
Low: 24 degrees at Bodie State Park, CA
Today's Extremes here at my house
High: 62 degrees (Partly sunny with cloudy periods, stayed dry)
Low: 51 degrees
Thanks for reading.
-Mark
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