Tuesday, March 1, 2011

1 March, 2011

IMPORTANT NOTICE: From March 9-21, 2011, I shall be on holiday in New Jersey, USA and therefore won't be blogging, I hope to post some during my holiday, updating on what I'm doing, where I'm visiting and what's the weather like but the usual posts will resume on March 21, 2011...

TODAY'S TOP WEATHER STORIES
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan

The hot, dry conditions led to bushfires in February around Perth and across Western Australia
(Image Courtesy of the BBC)

Perth has hottest, driest summer on record
BBC ASIA-PACIFIC


Australia Flooding, Cyclone Losses Estimated In Billions
ACCUWEATHER NEWS

China drought worsens in parched north
BBC ASIA-PACIFIC

Storm Blasts Newfoundland
THE WEATHER NETWORK

Lots of snow in Port Aux Basques, NF
(Courtesy of TWN)

TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS SCOTLAND, UK & EUROPE

Today's BBC Scotland Forecast

Today's BBC UK Forecast

Today's BBC Europe Forecast

TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS AMERICA
From AccuWeather


Monday's Severe Storm's Turn Deadly

By Gina Cherundolo, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer


Arctic Chill Returning to Midwest, Northern Plains This Week
By Bill Deger, Meteorologist

From Mild to Frigid In the Northeast This Week
By Brian Edwards, Meteorologist

Northwest Windstorm Likely at Midweek
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist

Weekend Severe Weather Threat From Kentucky to Louisiana
By Brian Edwards, Meteorologist



WEATHER TALK
By Mark Vogan

Metorological Winter of 2010-2011 Is Officially Over and it wasn't as cold as last winter overall!

I AM VERY HAPPY WITH THE OVERALL PERFORMANCE OF MY  2010-2011 WINTER FORECAST I PUT OUT BACK ON OCTOBER 1ST, 2010

It was clearly stated that there would be 'key' or 'stand out' differences between winter of last year which was cold throughout with small mild spells in between and there was substantial cold AFTER the core of winter's toughest conditions were gone which was between December 18-January 10. This winter, the core of winter's toughest conditions occured earlier than last LIKE MY FORECAST SAID IT WOULD between Nov 20 through Christmas, after the turn of the New Year, we saw more 'chilly' weather but my main forecast alteration which deemed correct was that once the core of winter's worst was done and this would occur BEFORE Christmas, that we would see a milder overall pattern with embedded cold/snowy spells. That cold and snow would be within an 'Atlantic Driven' pattern the rest of the season.

Meteorological winter is between Dec 1st and Feb 28th, so technically, though March can be a very wintry month, my forecast is actually done with and I must admit, I am very happy with how things turned out.

I also stated in the forecast very clearly, that given the continued lack of current sunspot activity and the current global pattern, I had real concern that the toughest of winter may either mirror last winter's worst or we may endure colder with eerily similar signals to the severe cold outbreak Scotland endured back in late December 1995 with major towns and cities taking a run at between -15 and -20C... As an actual fact, we DID SEE those kinds of 'extreme and rare' temperatures during what was the coldest or second coldest December on record and a -16C reading was recorded at my house.

My thinking behind a different type of pattern driving this winter as compared to last with a major changer, the La Nina, rather than El Nino of last year made me strongly believe that our OVERALL Winter wouldn't be as bad as last year. This winter only seems or feels long simply because we had it so tough for a solid 4 to 5 week period and it did arrive hard and fast a 3.5 weeks early than last year, so even by mid-January or earlier into February, everyone's mind is telling them that it must surely be spring or it should be at least warming up, well, if we looked at the calender, it was still midwinter, it's just that it arrived so early. AS FORECASTED!

Anyway, El Nino's like last year tend to portray cooler winter's here whilst La Nina's portray milder, and on the whole, that's been the case, it's simply we had such a tough part 1 to this winter and sure, January overall ended below normal and there was cooler and even snowier conditions than normal, but we are in a period of overall global cooling, whether it be thanks to oceansd cooling or sunspots or volcanic activity increase, who knows, perhaps it's all of them things!!

VAGARIES OF THE WEATHER
INDIA & SUB-CONTINENTAL ASIA WEATHER
BY RAJESH KAPADIA

Message received from Shiraz, Mahableshwar, today, Monday:

Thunder shower lasted one hour from 3.30 pm
Checked your Blog. My feedback was not updated
on it so far.
Shiraz.


Message received from Rafeek, Pune:
Drizzling here in Pune from 5 pm.

Our UAC somewhat precipitating as forecasted.


Mail from our reader Tyrone, from Karachi:


Thought u would find this intersting .......


"Lahore – no ordinary rain"
Agencies
Yesterday


A rare hailstorm struck Lahore at 4.45pm on Saturday, concentrating its intensity downtown and in areas around Gulberg. Hailstones the size of small strawberries soon carpeted streets and rooftops. People were



left stunned watching the freak turn of weather. At a few places, some people panicked and started giving “azans”. – Photos by Online and PPI

BE SURE TO CHECK OUT OUR PARTNER'S TERRIFIC BLOG RIGHT HERE FOR MORE GREAT WEATHER INFO, PICS AND MORE FROM ACROSS INDIA, ASIA AND THE WORLD!

WHAT'S REACHING TODAY'S BLOGS?

Pacific Flexing Its Muscles
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather

Time to Dissect the Next Storm
Frank Strait, AccuWeather

The Next Storm Could Bring Severe Weather, Flooding and Snow
Henry Margusity, AccuWeather

THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY

TODAY'S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER

HIGH: 88 degrees at Miami, FL
LOW: -15 degrees at Opheim, MT

TODAY'S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE

HIGH: 46 degrees
LOW: 29 degrees

Thanks for reading.
-Mark

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