TODAY'S TOP WEATHER STORIES
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
NOW AVAILABLE!
SEE 'WEATHER TALK' BELOW FOR MARK VOGAN'S UK/EUROPE SUMMER 2011 FORECAST
California and Southwest enjoy early season Heatwave whilst East endures late season Snowstorm
The USA is currently divided by two very different weather patterns. While it's in the 80s, 90s and even low 100s across the Southwest from the beaches of LA to Phoenix and into West Texas as high pressure sits strong overhead, across in the Northeast and it's all about wind, rain and snow as a major storm roles through as a trough and cold air rules.
PRESS TELEGRAM
Numerous Record Highs Possible Friday
THE WEATHER CHANNEL
L.A. heat wave continues Friday, but change might be in air for weekend
LA TIMES
TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS SCOTLAND, UK & EUROPE
By Mark Vogan
Lossiemouth on the Moray coast of Scotland reaches 19C this afternoon (UK's warmest of 2011) impressive above-normal warmth spreads across much of Europe... changes on the way though!
While for the most part, much of the continent has enjoyed fine weather over the course of this week, we are seeing changes here in Scotland and this will lead to a continentwide change through next week.
A series of Atlantic fronts are pushing in and today we saw southeast moving bands of heavy rain and strong winds as a front pushed through out of the northwest. Meanwhile ahead of that front where the sun was shinning and a prominant southwest wind blew ahead of the approaching front, temperatures actually rose to the warmest UK levels of 2011 so far with a high of 19C recorded at Lossiemouth on the Moray coast of northern Scotland this afternoon. This warm high was likely helped by some downsloping and rain shadow by the Grampian Mountains to the south of Lossiemouth.
Behind these fronts we will see cooler air filter in and these fronts won't stop over Scotland and the UK, their progressing down into the western continent and should snap the very nice warm weather areas such as Paris, Brussels and other areas have been enjoying. Low 20s C in Paris is abnormally warm for April 1st but come tomorrow and into next week, highs may only top 11 to 13C in Paris and Brussels. Highs over the past few days have been in the low 20s! As for central Spain where highs have topped 21 or 22C, showers should increase and temps dip back into the 15 to 18C range for places such as Madrid.
Further east from Amsterdam and Brussels, highs should fall away also across Germany, Poland and the eastern countries.
This evening's BBC Scotland Forecast
This afternoon's BBC UK Forecast By Laura Tobin
Today's BBC Europe Forecast By Louise Lear
TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS AMERICA
From AccuWeather
April Fools' Snowstorm Hits New England Hard
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Severe Weather Outbreak Next Week May Affect a Quarter of US
By Heather Buchman, Meteorologist
Warm Blast Heading for the East
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Weekend Snow for the Wasatch, Rockies, Cascades
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
WEATHER TALK
By Mark Vogan
Mark Vogan's Preliminary Summer 2011 Forecast
United Kingdom will be inside the boundary between chilly air over Scandinavia and blistering heat over Spain
London, August 2009 (Photo courtesy of the Guardian)
RELEASED: MARCH 31, 2011
*Scandinavia across to western Russia will be cooler-wetter than normal
*Southern Europe and Mediterrannean to see above normal temps
I have come up with the above highlights given the overall pattern we currently have at play and the type of winter we've seen.
The recent La Nina which shadowed the pattern more so during the second half of winter is quickly weakening and will likely have faded considerably from about the start of August, not before and thus the La Nina and it's domino effects should reflect the majority of the large-scale hemispheric pattern this summer.
I believe the overall pattern should be as follows when we look at the grand June through August pattern.
A dissapointing Cool/Wet Summer ahead for same areas that shivered in winter 2010-11
Cooler air will linger from coastal Norway across Sweden, Finland, through the Baltics and into western Russia. Here there may be a series of fairly strong Atlantic cyclones moving through of which may shield Great Britain from warm sunshine for days on end. We may also see mist and low cloud as well as drizzle, particularly over the northern half of Britain.
Endless sunshine and heat for a banana-shaped rim around the northern Med
The core of this summer's heat will be drapped in a banana-shaped rim, spanning all the European Med coast and points inland. Stretching from Gibraltar to Monaco to Milan and across to Istanbul. Here, sunshine should be relentless, providing 28-38C heat day after day with interior areas away from the cooling sea breeze soaring beyond 38C (100 degrees F) 40C.
As always, the core or origin of the heat is centered beneath the sub-tropical high pressure core parked over the Sahara Desert in north Africa, the air flowing around this wheel of heat, drives hot air up across the sunbaked countries of southern Europe.
As for the UK, though I see an unsettled summer overall, we may have a better summer than last year which was nice and settled from May through late June and then turned on it's head come July 1 with the rest being for the most part, a wash out. This year, unsettled and settled spells may be more evenly distributed throughout the summer months. The problem is, we live on a small island, surrounded by cold waters (even in summer) and located at a relatively far north latitude with a large ocean to our west, we aren't going to see the same type of persistent sunshine that areas either further south or far from a large body of water will see. We also won't see truely hot conditions either thanks to the nearby surrounding waters.
However, I do see 'many' warm,/sunny spells of anywhere from 3-5 or longer days in a row for the central and southern portion of England and Wales as well as Ireland. As for the northern areas, we may see 2-3 spells of 3-5 days which may extend upwards of 10 days once or twice across northern England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland where we see sunny, warm days and pleasantly mild evenings. The areas of southern, interior England and Greater London may see upwards of 5 to even 10 nights in which lows only fall to around 18C or warmer.
Conclusion
Here in the UK, will shall be within that boundary between the heat and sun to the south and the chilly, damp and at times, stormy north over Scandinavia. Both air masses will bounce north and south, providing us with a taste of both.
VAGARIES OF THE WEATHER
INDIA & SUB-CONTINENTAL ASIA WEATHER
BY RAJESH KAPADIA
First day of April in the subcontinent. Not bad, with Northern plains in the high 30s and Anantpur in A.P. at 40.6c.
Even hot regions of Sindh, Pakistan, are only just about touching 40c. With the 3 day "cool off" predicted for Karachi lapsing, the N and NW winds have brought an unexpected jump at Karachi which soared to 38c today.
Come April 1st and there is a mild cold wave in madhya Maharashtra.(West iterior Maharashtra). Norms say temperatures 4 below normal is a cold wave, and 7 below a severe cold wave.
Cold spots in Maharashtra on 1st april: Ahmadnagar 13c (-7), Nashik 14.5c (-4), Pune 15c (-4).
A1 precipitating over North Pakistan, North Indian states of Kashmir and H.P. on Saturday, and sliding into western Nepal on Sunday. Thundershower popping up over Kathmandu this weekend as a result.
Capital of Nepal seems to be enjoying very pleasant climatic conditions presently..27.4c - 11.5c range of temperatures is very comfortable !
Monsoon Watch Series 1st. article... log on to Vagaries on 10th. April!
A MUST READ AND BOOKMARK: Click here to see our Partner's Blog!
WHAT'S REACHING TODAY'S BLOGS?
Wrapping Up the Current Storm and Looking Ahead to the Next One
Henry Margusity, AccuWeather
A Great Example of Why Snow Forecasting is Tough
Henry Margusity, AccuWeather
THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY
TODAY'S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER
HIGH: 103 degrees of Death Valley, CA
LOW: 13 degrees at Embarrass, MN
TODAY'S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE
HIGH: 53 degrees
LOW: 46 degrees
Thanks for reading.
-Mark
No comments:
Post a Comment