TODAY'S TOP WEATHER STORIES
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
'We have homes and lives torn apart,' Australian official says
CNN
Death toll rises to nearly 600 in Brazil flooding
CNN
Flood warnings in Conwy valley, Tenby as rain continues
BBC Weather
TODAY'S WEATHER ACROSS UK & EUROPE
By Mark Vogan
WITH THE EXCEPTIONS OF SCANDINAVIA AND RUSSIA, ALL OF EUROPE IS FLOODED BY WARM, ATLANTIC AIR, BUT THINGS LOOK TO BE CHANGING AROUND JAN 25TH!
Just take a look at how stormy the UK has become as the breakdown of the Greenland block has allowed an open door of Atlantic air to return to Britain as well as an active jet stream which storm systems form and ride along. This jet which typically roars across northern Britain at this time of year has been displaced down across Spain and the Med, bringing stormy, colder than normal conditions much farther south than normal thanks to that bloocking high pressure system over Greenland, but now that the NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) is positive, we see lower pressures at our latitude and the colder is ejected north and east for a change therefore stormy, wetter, milder weather has indeed returned and milder air has indeed flooded pretty much all of Europe creating flooding as there was such a cold, snowy spell last month for all of us. We have seen a very wet day across Britain, particularly over western and central Scotland and Cumbria. Sustained winds of between 25-35 mph have blew in from the typically mild southwest direction with gusts beyond 50 mph on exposed coasts and hills and has helped raise temperatures to 11C (51 degrees) here at my house and in several locales across western and central Scotland high's have reached 12C, an amazing 53-54 degrees and well above normal for this time of year.
Laura Tobin Presents the Dinnertime BBC National Forecast
Helen Willets Presents today's BBC Europe Forecast
From AccuWeather
Midwest In Path of More Travel-Disrupting Weather
By Meghan Evans, Meteorologist
Weekend Snow From Clipper for Great Lakes, Northeast
By Alex Sosnowski, Expert Senior Meteorologist
Rounds of Flooding Rain Threaten the Northwest
By Katie Storbeck, Meteorologist
WEATHER TALK
By Mark Vogan
Temperatures Soar Well-Above normal across Europe after widespread snow and severe cold just last month, but the cold/snow isn't done with Europe this winter yet!
VAGARIES OF THE WEATHER
INDIA & SUB-CONTINENTAL ASIA WEATHER
BY RAJESH KAPADIA
Covering the Kashmir Valley with copious snowfall on Friday,(Banihal 5 cms, Srinagar 4cms).
Trikuta hills, which houses the cave shrine of Mata Vaishnodevi in Jammu and Kashmir’s Reasi district, has received fresh snowfall.
There was fresh snowfall in Trikuta hills – abode of the Shrine. A thick blanket of snow has come up around the Shrine
The W.D. precipitation was today concentrated in H.P.
Shimla was lashed by rains, sleet, and snowfall today, while Mcleod Ganj near Dharamsala, recorded 20 cm of snow.
Theog and Kufri in Shimla district recorded over 60 cm of snow, while Narkanda received over 130 cm of snow.
Bangana was wettest in the region with 50 mm of rains while Hamirpur and Mehre recorded 46 and 41 mm of rains.
On Friday, the W.D. has moved east into India and is now moving away eastwards again, creeping into Nepal from Saturday/Sunday.
Another W.D could be knocking on thedoors from the 19th. of January.
Meanwhile, rainfall amounts were good in Pakistan, with the prominent figures for Friday/Saturday being:
Dir 34mm , Balakot 28mm, MalamJaba 24mm, Garidupatta 19mm, Saidu sharif 17mm, Chitral 12mm, Islamabad (Saidpur) 10mm, Rawalpindi, Peshawar 08mm. Snowfall recorded: Kalam 20 cms, Murree 06 inch.
Cold wave conditions have commenced in the Balochistan and Sindh regions. Night temperatures have generally fallen by 2-7c in the region.
These were 6-9c below normal in Balochistan and by 2-5c so, elsewhere in the region.
With Nokundi in the plains dropping to -4.5c on Saturday, nights are expected to drop further with Islamabad possibly going down to -1c and Karachi could see 5/6c in the next 2 nights.
Again, misty/foggy conditions in Karachi on 17th. night/18th. morning could be expected.
Check out our Partner's Blog for the latest, greatest India and Sub-Continental Weather HERE!
WILD WEATHER ON A WILD WORLD
MEXICO WEATHER
BY ARTURO SALINAS
Graphic Courtesy of AccuWeather.com
TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS
Check out this vid from the state tourism deparment. You can have a clear idea of how much ice accumulated at Chipinque Park which is above 4000 ft and less than 8 mi from downtown. Local rangers claim old trees fell due to the weight of ice, something really uncommon. Ice started around tuesday night and lasted until yesterday by noon. Lowest temps around metropolitan area fluctuated between 0-2°C or around 32- 36°F with thursday being the coldest day so far.
Graphic Courtesy of Intellicast Weather
WHAT TO EXPECT?
Temperatures are trending to slow recovery, yet moisture still hangs around the region so expect drizzle and light rain for today changing to moderate rain and isolated thunderstorms for saturday as an upper level low passes through South Texas. Temperatures will be around the 40s to mid 50s during the morning for most of the region tomorrow, with high temps around the 60s. Expect partial cloudy skies and increasing temperatures after sunday with high temps reaching even the 80s for Monday.
CHECK OUT ARTURO'S BLOG HERE!
WHAT'S REACHING TODAY'S BLOGS?
Rare Cold Wave, Ice in Northeast Mexico
Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather
Snow Map for the Storm Monday into Wednesday
Henry Margusity, AccuWeather
FROM THE CHICAGO WEATHER CENTER
Flurries could be in the air for Sunday's Bears game; threat of more significant early week snow being monitored
Bears fans, hardly strangers over the years to bitter subzero wind chills and even snow during home play-off games, are likely to take Sunday's modest brand of January chill and restrained winds in relative stride. Mother Nature has served up far harsher conditions in the past.
Flurries may flutter to earth at times Sunday, the by-product of a disturbance predicted in the area. The early take on the system is that snows will be light--most likely on the order of a dusting in some areas. Hints by one prediction model that a small feature referred to by meteorologists as a "meso-low" may develop and sit over southern Lake Michigan at some point Sunday. It's the type of system which could enhance snowfall more than currently predicted. But the details of such features aren't easily pinned down this far in advance. Prospects for a meso-low getting involved in Sunday's snow production are low--but they're not zero--so this is a situation which will be monitored.
While chilly Sunday, the game's midday kick-off is to take place amid temperatures in the low 20s--not warm, to be sure--but only a moderate level of chill by January standards. The light/variable winds predicted during the game are likely to fall in the 7 to 8 mph range generating wind chills in the teens.
The weather next week is to become challenging on several fronts. Snow and bitter cold are to enter the picture. Early projections suggest moisture levels with a vigorous southeast-bound Alberta Clipper-type system may be sufficient to produce snowfalls approaching 4 inches Monday afternoon and night in the Chicago area. The system has traversed the Pacific beneath the nose of an eye-catching 200 mph jet stream. Winds aloft of that strength are capable of producing especially vigorous weather systems. This disturbance is no exception but is projected to track across southern Wisconsin--not generally a track which produces Chicago's biggest snows. But warmth and a prolific flow of moisture up its front side plus the insistence of a majority of computer forecast models that the bulk of its precipitation is to fall as snow or a snow/sleet mix, supports predictions of up to 4 inches of snow. More precise accumulation figures will become available in coming days. READ MORE
Cross polar jet stream infuses frigid Canadian air mass with Siberian air; some Yukon temps down 50-degrees in the past week
Temperatures have plunged over the past week in northwest Canada. At Whitehorse in the Yukon Territory, readings dropped from a high of +11-degrees on Monday to a Friday morning low of -40-degrees--a 51-degree dive in just 5 days. It's part of an intensification of a frigid air mass there which has resulted from an infusion of bitter Siberian air riding a powerful cross-polar jet stream from Russia. Barometric pressures in the region have soared as the cold, dense air has strengthened. Peak barometer readings late Friday soared to 1058 mb. (31.24 inches).
Winter's coldest air to sweep into Chicago in two powerful waves next week, the first Tuesday; a second Thursday and Friday
It's unusual for arctic highs of such strength not to ultimately spill southward into the U.S. The expectation is the first wave of cold air is to send Chicago temperatures into a tailspin Tuesday--and that a second surge of bitterly cold air is to plunge into the area Thursday and Friday. Together, they threaten to send metro area temperatures to the lowest levels to date this winter and potentially among the coldest readings of the past two years.
THE EXTREMES OF THE DAY
TODAY'S US EXTREMES
COURTESY OF ACCUWEATHER
HIGH: 86 degrees at Santa Ana, CA
LOW: -17 degrees at Fryeburg, ME
TODAY'S UK EXTREMES
COURTESY OF THE MET OFFICE
HIGH: 56 degrees (13.5C) at Hawarden (Flintshire)
COLD HIGH: 46 degrees (7.9C) at Eskdalemuir (Dumfries and Galloway)
LOW: 35 degrees (1.6C) at Cassley (Sutherland)
TODAY'S EXTREMES HERE AT MY HOUSE
HIGH: 51 degrees
LOW: 38 degrees
TODAY'S CONDITIONS (LOCALLY)
A Very mild, wet, windy start and day overall with heavy and persistent rains that have progressed southwest to northeast across the country and help fire temperatures to higher levels than anything seen here during the entire December through February period last year. The warmest winter days last year was 49 degrees!
Thanks for reading.
-Mark
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