COMING THIS HALLOWEEN ( SUNDAY, OCT 31st)
MARK VOGAN'S OFFICIAL 2010-2011 UNITED KINGDOM AND EUROPE WINTER FORECAST..are you ready?
Today's Top Weather Stories
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan
A family stands where their house used to be in the Delfin Albano township in the Philippines on Tuesday, Oct. 19, 2010. (AP Photo/Bullit Marquez)
SUPER TYPHOON MEGI LATEST STORIES
2 dead as Typhoon Megi strikes the Philippines
CNN
Deadly Typhoon Megi Creates Disaster in Philippines
AccuWeather
Megi Could Add to Catastrophic Flooding in Vietnam, China
AccuWeather News
IN OTHER NEWS
Little Relief Coming to Drought-Stricken South
AccuWeather News
Today's Weather across America
From AccuWeather
Fresh Cold, Even Snow to Return to the Northeast
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
Latest ALCS, NLCS Weather Forecasts
By Gina Cherundolo, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer
More Rounds of Thunderstorms to Rattle the Southwest
By Kristina Pydynowski, Senior Meteorologist
Weather Talk
By Mark Vogan
The 11-degree low at Pleasant Valley, Montana was the coldest of autumn so far across Lower 48, but it's into the -10s up in central Alaska now!
Whilst temperatures by night slowly drop off into the lower teens in the colder spots of the Northern Rockies at this point of the year, Alaska is now well into sub-zero territory with even September seeing sub -10F lows which broke records and climatalogical hisotyr as well as long-range forecasts point to a severe winter this year up over the northern and nrthwest region of North America!
On the morning of the 16th of October, Fort Yukon, a classic cold spot in the heart of interior Alaska saw a low drop to 15 below zero (according to the USA Today stats), cold for sure, but it's not unusual for mid-October to see these types of lows as far north and as far inland from the modifying influences of sea and ocean.
As for the lower 48, this point in October typically sees lows drop into the 10s with the odd October seeing lows drop towards the zero mark.. This year hasn't seen a sub-10 degree low just yet and this morning saw the closest appraoch to single-digit territory with an 11-degree at at Pleasant Valley, Montana. It's now that ever colder air mass drop southwards into the Western US and with a dusting or an inch or two coating of snow to seal the heat of the ground off and drive a cold Canadian air mass down over a high-elevation mountain valley or basin where the first zero or colder low is going to occur.
Here are some classic high-elevation cold spots that are most likely to achieve this
Stanley, Idaho
West Yellowstone, Montana
Leadville, Colorado
Bodie State Park, California
Shirley Basin, Wyoming
These are just a few!
The lack of "very cold air mass" may be holding back to first sub-zero low in the mountains of the West but as the heat shrinks over the Lower 48 and this gives way for Canadian cold air masses to progress south and cover more gound will the oppertunity to drive those night temperatures down into "frigid territory". It's still early and it's only a mater of time before the Pacific storm train cranks and colder air filters down from the Northwest territories, the Yukon and Alaska where the air is cold enough to support single-digit highs and -10 to -20 degree lows around the Arctic Circle, this air is going to continue to penetrate further and further south over the next couple of months as daylight continues to shorten, especially over the far north of North America, soon enough, daylight will be gone conpletely and each and everyday will remain below zero!
Vagaries of the Weather
India & Sub-Continental Asia Weather
By Rajesh Kapadia
Megi: Core pressure at 907 mb !
JTWC Report:''MEGI HAS INTENSIFIED TO THE UPPER REACHES OF SUPER TYPHOON STRENGTH. CURRENT DVORAK EYE FIXES FROM PGTW AND RJTD ESTIMATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS HAVE ELEVATED 10 KNOTS FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO 155 KNOT.
EYE TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED STEADY AT AROUND 15 DEG CELCIUS AND THE EYE DIAMETER HAS RANGED FROM 20 TO 25 NM".
OUTER RAINBANDS HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT LUZON.
UPDATE
Super Typhoon MEGI has made landfall at Dililacan and Divilacan Bay area at around 11 a.m. IST on Monday.
This Typhoon, with wind speeds of 145/155 knots at landfall, working out to around 270 kmph !!
Ashokbhai informs, With a core pressure at 885 mb, it has become the strongest Typhoon, or any system, to make landfall. The previous record was in 1935, when a Labour Day Atlantic hurricane struck with pressure at 892 mb.in the U.S. No naming of hurricanes was done then.
See Rajesh's Blog Here for more terrific weather from India and even internationally in his new blog layout!
What's Reaching Today's Blogs?
Closed Low Brings Southwest Weather Woes
Ken Clark, Western US Expert, AccuWeather
Incredible Satellite Images of Super Typhoon Megi
Jesse Ferrell, AccuWeather
The Extremes of the Day
Today's US Extremes
Courtesy of AccuWeather
High: 92 degrees at Laredo, TX
Low: 11 degrees at Pleasant Valley, MT
Today's UK Extremes
Courtesy of the Met Office
High: 60 degrees at Solent (Isle of Wight)
Low: 30 degrees at Charlwood (Surrey)
Today's Extremes here at my house
High: 49 degrees
Low: 48 degrees
TODAY'S COND
A typical autumnal day with showers, some heavy, driven on a brisk, cold wind, a day for staying inside and watching a movie!
Thanks for reading.
-Mark
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