Friday, October 15, 2010

15 October, 2010

See Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan on Facebook and Twitter. What are you missing? Videos, Weather Info and promotional items which are NOT seen here on the blog! During your visit, click "like" and be a part of the blog.. thanks for reading and your support.

COMING THIS HALLOWEEN ( SUNDAY, OCT 31st)

MARK VOGAN'S OFFICIAL 2010-2011 UNITED KINGDOM AND EUROPE WINTER FORECAST


Today's Top Weather Stories
On Weather & Climate Through the Eyes of Mark Vogan


VERY LATEST NOR'EASTER NEWS FROM THE AMERICAN NORTHEAST

VIDEO: New England Nor'easter, Mid-Atlantic Improvement
AccuWeather News

Snowstorm Hits New England Mountains
AccuWeather News

Snow for Part of Northeast US, Quebec
AccuWeather News

This was the scene across the higher elevations of Vermont Friday midday, Oct. 15, 2010. Photo by photos.com.

IN OTHER NEWS

Paula now a tropical depression
CNN

Evacuated residents allowed to return to Hungarian village
CNN

Today's Weather across America
From AccuWeather


Vivacious Thunderstorms Set to Rattle Southwest
By Katie Storbeck, Meteorologist

Weekend Weather for ALCS, NLCS
By Gina Cherundolo, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer

Fuel Costs Could Mean 'Hello, Heating Bill' This Winter
By Kirstie Hettinga, AccuWeather.com Staff Writer

Weather Talk
By Mark Vogan

A Cold Night ahead across Scotland

After a fairly pleasant day despite mostly cloudy skies but brightness filtering through nontheless meant a pleasant autumn day across much of the country remaining dry for most spots after daylight returned this morning. It was windy in parts of the Highlands as well as the Central Belt earlier this morning, I certainly felt the brisk breeze blowing when unloading pallets this morning at Grangemouth before heading back to base at Bathgate.

After a day which brought a crisp 52-degree high at my house and across much of Central Scotland, skies will clear and with light winds I expect mainy places between Greenock and Edinburgh to take a run at freezing with frost forming. That's a forecast of 30-35 degree lows, perhaps creeping into the upper 20s in sheltered rural spots, even within the Lowlands between Glasgow, Edinburgh and up to Perth.

The Highlands may see lows creep into the mid-20s under the same conditions, we're now at that time when temps bottom out more easily when skies and clear and winds light, all the heat gets transported back to space, known as radiational cooling. The limiting factor stopping "maximum" radiational cooling is bare ground, when snow covers the ground (which is only a matter of time now for the Highlands), then temps plummet even better and thus ALL ingredients are there for the strongest type of radiational cooling. 

FORECAST LOWS TONIGHT

My house 32 degrees
Glasgow 32 degrees
Edinburgh 35 degrees
Perth 34 degrees
Aviemore 30 degrees
Inverness 32 degrees

Vagaries of the Weather
India & Sub-Continental Asia Weather
By Rajesh Kapadia




The deep depression, BoB3, in place over Bay of Bengal as of now on its way towards a landfall on the Orissa coast. Latest position shows the centre at lat 19.0N and long 87.0E, about 220 km east-southeast of Gopalpur, and the core pressure at 998 mb with quadrant winds at 55-60 kmph.



Constantly, this system is being sheared by easterly winds aloft, so most of its deep convective clouds and rains lie western quadrant.


Most forecast models show the system tracking westward, and should make a landfall between near Gopalpur within a few hours of 1200 UTC, Friday. The question is, whether this will be a tropical cyclone at landfall, as easterlies persisting aloft through the time of landfall favors a cap on intensity.


Surface wind suggest the potential for gales--before landfall.


Inland, the system whirl will move west/northwest, reaching M.P. and crossing thru Vidharbha, before tracking on again, and weakening rapidly.


That means, this system will precipitate unusual heavy rain in regions where SWM has retreated or should have retreated by now.


The coming of a depression now at this stage has completely pushed aside the "anti cyclone" and is now "sneaking in" in a monsoon depression after the "scales had turned unfavourably" for the SWM. And, I think it is the first deep depression to come from the bay since June !!


Long Live the SWM !!


Latest position of deep depression @ 3p.m.: Only 60 kms south-east of Puri at 19.50N and 86.00E. Winds at 55-60 kmph. Expected to cross inland thru Orissa in a few hours.



Crossing the coast means the centre of the system has moved inland. In the current case, the centre is to the east of the major clouding, as always mentioned and explained in this blog.


Image shows the western quadrant visible in the current system, and the central pressure area is seen as a clear area off the coast.


The central point of a rough circular swirl in this image.This in reply to a query.

See Rajesh's "Terrific" Blog HERE for much more info, plus he has new features for you to check out! I am proud to be a partner in blogging...

What's Reaching Today's Blogs?

A Change in the Wind
Joe Lundburg, AccuWeather

Dry and Cool for the Weekend
Elliot Abrams, AccuWeather

The Extremes of the Day

Today's US Extremes
Courtesy of AccuWeather

High: 104 degrees at Death Valley, CA
Low: 18 degrees at West Yellowstone, MT

Today's UK Extremes
Courtesy of the Met Office

High: 59 degrees at Castlederg (Co Tyrone)
Coolest High: 49 degrees at Loch Glascarnoch (Highland)
Low: 39 degrees at Katesbridge (Co Down)
Today's Extremes here at my house


High: 52 degrees
Low: 48 degrees

TODAY'S COND
A pleasant autumn day with brightness of sunshine filtering through an overall cloudy or mostly cloudy sky but nonetheless, it was'nt bad for October 15. Temps were'nt too bad either!

Thanks for reading.
-Mark

No comments:

Post a Comment


My Ping in TotalPing.com